Basketball and gambling have more in common than you may think. So as to succeed at either pursuit, it helps to have an established system. In the event of basketball, obtaining a reliable offensive scheme that you’re able to roll out each game regardless of the matchup gives you a leg-up. Believe Mike D’Antoni’s free-flowing space-and-pace assault or Jerry Sloan’s nearly unbeatable pick-and-roll crime from the 1980s and 90s.
When it comes to gambling, you can gain the exact same type of benefit by having a closely defined set of rules that it is possible to apply to every single game irrespective of who’s on the court.
Fortunately, you don’t have to create your own betting system from scratch. There are already a few recognized strategies that you can try on for size when you put down wagers on your favourite teams, and there’s no rule against pilfering from the playbooks of those who arrived before you. We have included a number of the most reliable systems and money-management strategies below, along with insights on how best to use them. When coupled with an understanding of the game, these systems can help turn rookie betters to all-stars.
The Top Totals System
Few strategies are easier to learn and use in relation to the Top Totals System made by Allen Moody, a sports-betting professional and the author of Becoming a Winning Gambler and Sports Betting Basics. Moody discovered that sportsbooks frequently underestimate game totals for NBA non-conference games, and began taking the over on all matches using an over/under of 220 total points. It’s a very simple strategy, but it paid off as he was correct 63.5percent of time for many games meeting that standards from 2004-05 to 2008-09.
Those sorts of games were rarities a decade before, but they’re becoming more common today as teams push the speed and drain more three-pointers. Back in 2004-05, NBA teams scored an average of 97.2 points each match. That number jumped to 100.0 in 2008-09 and rose all the way to 105.6 in 2016-17. Sportsbooks have become savvy for this trend, but there is still value to be found by taking the above in games with especially high total-point projections.
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